Thursday, September 26, 2013

Is Cano worth $305 Million?

I read that ESPN's Buster Olney has found out that Robinson Cano is seeking $305 million over 10 years.

I'm a fan of Cano's.  I like watching him play, I love his approach at the plate.   He's a good hitter.  A solid 25-30 HR a year guy.  But I don't think he's worth $305 million over 10 years.

The real question, the question that the Yankees, and any other team out there looking for a hard hitting second basemen need to ask is, "is he worth it?"

I think that answer is no.

First for $305 Million over 10 years, you better be looking at a near lock for a first ballot hall of fame player.   I'm not sure that Cano will be.  He's a solid player, but I don't watch him play and think he's that much above the rest.  ARod when he was younger just made everyone else look like they were beneath him.  Pujols a few years ago did something similar with first basemen.

Second, ARod, Pujols, and even Alfonso Soriano, may have soured all of baseball on 10 year contracts.  It's just too much risk for a team to accept that they could be stuck owing $90 Million to a 37 year old player who is done.    Between ARod's injuries and drug scandals, and Pujols injuries, and Soriano's simple decline, the risk for a 10 year contract is so high that I don't think teams should take it.

Third does it meet the ultimate goal?  What is the ultimate goal?  I'm guessing for the Yankees, that ultimate goal is winning another world series.   He was part of the 2009 World Series, but he's also been there since then when they haven't been able to win it again.  Since he's already been with the Yankees, he's not the answer for winning another world series.   They may be better off letting him go, taking the loss on his WAR and replacing it in other positions, like pitching.

The ultimate question the Yankees have to ask themselves, is with ARod ailing, Rivera retiring, Petitte retiring, who knows what happening with Jeter, and Sabathia losing his edge quickly. Can the Yankees allow themselves to rebuild without throwing too much money at a position player that will likely not be the one to lead them back to the promised land?