Friday, October 06, 2006

Week 5: Football Picks

Week 5
SUN, OCT 8Pick
Buffalo at ChicagoChicago
Cleveland at CarolinaCarolina
Detroit at MinnesotaMinnesota
Miami at New EnglandNew England
St. Louis at Green BaySt. Louis
Tampa Bay at New OrleansNew Orleans
Tennessee at IndianapolisIndianapolis
Washington at NY GiantsWashington
Kansas City at ArizonaKansas City
NY Jets at JacksonvilleJacksonville
Oakland at San FranciscoSan Francisco
Dallas at PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia
Pittsburgh at San DiegoPittsburgh
MON, OCT 9Pick
Baltimore at DenverDenver

There are a few games that I was more conflicted on this week than in the past. I was planning on picking Green Bay at home, but Favre is shaken up and 3 of his wide receivers are out, so picking Green Bay at home will be very hazardous. If I were picking against the spread, I would put money on Tennessee. I doubt Indy runs the score up 20 points. Expect to see a lot of subs get playing time on the Colts side during this game. The Giants are favorites, but I think it's only because they are at home. With Clinton Portis playing well, I think Washington should be the favored team. I was very surprised the KC wasn't favored by more than the 3.5 points that they are after they completed beat the snot out of SF last week. I think this game will be just as big of a win. SF is a3 point favorite over Oakland, and I picked them, but last week Oakland impressed me, then blew it. Oakland could actually win this game. Philadelphia has played great since the first game this season. Their offense and defense is clicking. That's why I was shocked to see they are only 1.5 point favorites at home. I love Dallas, and love to cheer for them, but I expect even with TO there to help, that Bledsoe will be sacked 5 to 8 times and intercepted twice. The Philly defense will do enough to beat Dallas. The best thing that Dallas can do is play a lot of shotgun to give Bledsoe the chance to see the rush coming. A no huddle offense would put a lot more pressure on the defense too, but I don't think that Dallas has that in them. San Diego is favored over Pittsburgh, but I think Big Ben has had enough time to recover and he'll come out and put on his best show of the season. If Pittsburgh's defense can play up to expectations I think they should be able to pull this out. Plus winning this game gets them back in the race with Cinci.